View Full Version : Long Term Predictions!!!
Morpheus
08-19-01, 12:52 PM
Below you can view some of the teams I have been tracking... intercept dates (the date we will "catch" them based on current productivity) are posted in white in a month/year format...
Ranks/Teams in the legend are:
67th — Royal Astronomical Society of Canada
56th — Overclockers Network
45th — OcUK - Overclockers UK
44th — Amateur Radio Operators
38th — BP6/VP6 User Group
We should be in the TOP 50 around the first of the year!!!
CRUNCH ON!!!!
looking good, morph! i like our curve's gradient plenty!!
Daniel ~
08-19-01, 02:24 PM
At last! a Graph even I can read!
chawken
08-19-01, 02:30 PM
Looks great Kris. Some good milestones to shoot for.
[Oc]acaridans
08-19-01, 04:15 PM
Sweet!! I was just thinking about our long term goals to..Looks good Kris
Thelemac
08-19-01, 08:24 PM
Are you doing straight linear predictions, or are you taking into account the exponential increase that we have?
Rottys-R-Us
08-19-01, 09:44 PM
Very good TEAM.
If 2mnymds get's a few more sys's it will be next month,HEHE:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
[Oc]acaridans
08-19-01, 10:05 PM
Have a question about OC JK is that supost to say 13?? in meaning years??
Morpheus
08-20-01, 12:25 AM
Originally posted by [Oc]acaridans
Have a question about OC JK is that supost to say 13?? in meaning years??
Nope... given our current rate of gain, we will not catch OC UK until 2013... :( the operative word here though is CURRENT...
As Thelemac was asking... these are linear predictions, but we are also growing exponentially... 400-500 July, 500-600 August... ??? More people (i.e. expoential growth) can change those numbers drastically... so that is why I still track OC UK... we have been as close as a 2004 date so far... :)
Crunch ON!!!!
Daniel ~
08-20-01, 02:36 PM
Originally posted by Morpheus
Nope... given our current rate of gain, we will not catch OC UK until 2013... :( the operative word here though is CURRENT...
As Thelemac was asking... these are linear predictions, but we are also growing exponentially... 400-500 July, 500-600 August... ??? More people (i.e. expoential growth) can change those numbers drastically... so that is why I still track OC UK... we have been as close as a 2004 date so far... :)
Crunch ON!!!! Damn! what a drag if we find ET befor we make the top 25! LOL
Morpheus
08-20-01, 05:07 PM
Let me tell you... If we find ETI, I will be happier than if we captured the no.1 slot from TLC… :) Imagine that…
Reading between the lines @ Berkeley, it is apparent that some of the stuff we are currently seeing is part of the gearing up for SETI II… new stats & such—even CGI stuff (that works!!).. :)
Wonder if stats will “carry over”… I hope not, as we would be in the top 20, maybe even 15 if we had started on a level playing field…
Crunch On!!!
chawken
08-20-01, 05:38 PM
Originally posted by Morpheus
Let me tell you... If we find ETI, I will be happier than if we captured the no.1 slot from TLC… :) Imagine that…
Reading between the lines @ Berkeley, it is apparent that some of the stuff we are currently seeing is part of the gearing up for SETI II… new stats & such—even CGI stuff (that works!!).. :)
Wonder if stats will “carry over”… I hope not, as we would be in the top 20, maybe even 15 if we had started on a level playing field…
Crunch On!!!
I'll second that. Given a level field we would definately be in the top 20. Give us a member base like TLC, or Art Bell etc. and we could give them a real run for the money.
Daniel ~
08-20-01, 05:50 PM
Just performing a reality check! LOL
SETI2....anywhere i can find info?
Morpheus
08-20-01, 11:20 PM
Originally posted by deez
SETI2....anywhere i can find info?
Look in the newsletters @ the main SETI sitehere (http://setiathome.ssl.berkeley.edu/newsletters/news.cgi) several mention the SETI II project & southern hemisphere searching....
As i said, it is a "read between the lines" but it is there... :)
Happy Crunching!!!
Morpheus
08-20-01, 11:23 PM
Originally posted by Daniel ~
Just performing a reality check! LOL
Understood... :D
The stats do keep things interesting though as we scour the farthest reaches of our technical abilities...
crunch, crunch
chawken
08-21-01, 01:10 PM
Originally posted by Morpheus
Look in the newsletters @ the main SETI sitehere (http://setiathome.ssl.berkeley.edu/newsletters/news.cgi) several mention the SETI II project & southern hemisphere searching....
As i said, it is a "read between the lines" but it is there... :)
Happy Crunching!!!
It would be nice if Berkeley put out a newsletter giving us a preview of their future plans with the project. You're right in that you have to read between the lines:
"where it will be examined in further stages of the SETI@home data analysis."
Be nice to read a preview about their "further stages.."
Daniel ~
08-21-01, 05:11 PM
Put up a new recruitment poster in GD, Crunch on Dudes and Dudettes
William
08-21-01, 05:54 PM
Shane! and I have 23 1.2ghz Athlons going Seti's and Folding's Way soon. So look for a nice bump in production. Now the question is which team gets 12 computers and which gets 11? What a wonderful problem!
Daniel ~
08-21-01, 05:56 PM
Flip a coin, ET would want it that way!
M@€$†®Ö™
08-22-01, 02:47 AM
Originally posted by Daniel ~
Flip a coin, ET would want it that way!
LOL ! You have a point :)
Maestro
chawken
08-22-01, 01:48 PM
Originally posted by William
Shane! and I have 23 1.2ghz Athlons going Seti's and Folding's Way soon. So look for a nice bump in production. Now the question is which team gets 12 computers and which gets 11? What a wonderful problem!
Let's see, 12 AMD 1.2 machines - crunching 4 per day ea. = about 48+ WU's per day - NICE. If you hit 50 I'll have to buy another Seti machine or 2.
William
08-22-01, 10:42 PM
Originally posted by Daniel ~
Flip a coin, ET would want it that way!
thats just what we did! Sorry to say guys, but Folding won. But there is even better news for everyone. We now have a dual P2 266, a dual P2 266, and some other computer of varying speeds available, so being logical, we are going beowulf on them. Now, to be fair, we are going to run SETI and Folding at the same CPU priority and see how it works out.
Morpheus
08-23-01, 01:06 AM
wwweeeeee!!!
Let the fun begin... good for Folding, go for SETI :)
Morpheus
08-23-01, 01:07 AM
Originally posted by Daniel ~
Put up a new recruitment poster in GD, Crunch on Dudes and Dudettes
Didn't know if we could strill do that in there... thanks Daniel!!
:)
Daniel ~
08-23-01, 02:40 PM
Originally posted by Morpheus
Didn't know if we could strill do that in there... thanks Daniel!!
:) Yes, each team is allowed one post in the top 50 at a time (not including mine":O}
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