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Fire may force memory prices up

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infinitevalence

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Nashville
http://forums.legitreviews.com/viewtopic.php?p=9989#9989

Advanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASE), one of the world’s top IC packaging companies, reported a serious fire at its IC substrate plant in Chungli, Taoyuan County, yesterday.

In addition to the costs of the damage from the fire, the company will incur monthly losses of about NT$600 million due to lost capacity, sources indicated. ASE may also need to compensate its customers for millions of unfinished IC substrates at the plant, and those same clients may begin shifting orders to ASE’s competitors as the company rebuilds its business, the sources added. According to the Chinese-language Apple Daily, the total cost of the fire may end up exceeding NT$10 billion.

ASE said it is still evaluating the extent of damage and declined to comment on the extent of the damage or reveal the list of clients affected.

Currently, the supply of PBGA and CSP substrate packaging lags demand by 15-20 million units per month and quotes rose 10-20% last quarter, according to IC substrate companies. With the ASE Chungli plant packaging 20-40 million PBGA and CSP substrate per month, the fire may result in the industry seeing a short-term PBGA and CSP supply shortage of more than 35 million units
 
hard to say, thats a lot of $$ and could hurt production. We shall see, thats why i said it may increase price.
 
i would be willing to bet that prices stay low but in 2-3mths there is a small increase and then a drop. that would be consistant with a short term shortage of IC's
 
Uhhhhhh, you guys should read the original article first:

http://www.digitimes.com/bits_chips/a20050502A9047.html

"and the company’s major clients for those segments include ATI Technologies, Intel, Motorola, Nvidia, Infineon Technologies, Freescale Semiconductor, VIA Technologies and Sunplus Technology, the sources said."

CSP and BGA chips are rarely used on DDR1 ram, most are still TSOP. Only DDR2 uses BGA chips. This will affect Video card/mobo chipset prices more than DDR1 ram, if at all.
 
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