Temps for refrigeration would be impossible to guess.
You could go by boiling temps of the r-xxx you use, but even that can be changed simply by running a vacuum on the low pressure (evaporator) side of the system to get even lower still. There's heat load, coolant, capillary tube size, evaporator size, r-xxx ammount, condensor size, condenser cooling, compressor size, litterally dozens of factors to consider.
All told, you can make it difficult to keep the coolant from freezing.
I do think there's a point of diminishing returns, where the temperatures you're trying to reach are more for bragging than for overclocking, because you'll still hit the chip's limit (both in speed, and the (-)temps it'll survive long term).
Personally, I'd be happy at +10C full load.