Long Term Predictions!!!

Morpheus · 08-19-01, 12:52 PM

Below you can view some of the teams I have been tracking... intercept dates (the date we will "catch" them based on current productivity) are posted in white in a month/year format...

Ranks/Teams in the legend are:

67th — Royal Astronomical Society of Canada
56th — Overclockers Network
45th — OcUK - Overclockers UK
44th — Amateur Radio Operators
38th — BP6/VP6 User Group

We should be in the TOP 50 around the first of the year!!!

CRUNCH ON!!!!

proze · 08-19-01, 02:11 PM

looking good, morph! i like our curve's gradient plenty!!

Daniel ~ · 08-19-01, 02:24 PM

At last! a Graph even I can read!

chawken · 08-19-01, 02:30 PM

Looks great Kris. Some good milestones to shoot for.

Basher · 08-19-01, 03:08 PM

Sweet great job

[Oc]acaridans · 08-19-01, 04:15 PM

Sweet!! I was just thinking about our long term goals to..Looks good Kris

Thelemac · 08-19-01, 08:24 PM

Are you doing straight linear predictions, or are you taking into account the exponential increase that we have?

Rottys-R-Us · 08-19-01, 09:44 PM

Very good TEAM.

If 2mnymds get's a few more sys's it will be next month,HEHE

[Oc]acaridans · 08-19-01, 10:05 PM

Have a question about OC JK is that supost to say 13?? in meaning years??

Morpheus · 08-20-01, 12:25 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by [Oc]acaridans
Have a question about OC JK is that supost to say 13?? in meaning years??

Nope... given our current rate of gain, we will not catch OC UK until 2013...

the operative word here though is CURRENT...

As Thelemac was asking... these are linear predictions, but we are also growing exponentially... 400-500 July, 500-600 August... ??? More people (i.e. expoential growth) can change those numbers drastically... so that is why I still track OC UK... we have been as close as a 2004 date so far...

Crunch ON!!!!

Daniel ~ · 08-20-01, 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Morpheus

Nope... given our current rate of gain, we will not catch OC UK until 2013... the operative word here though is CURRENT...

As Thelemac was asking... these are linear predictions, but we are also growing exponentially... 400-500 July, 500-600 August... ??? More people (i.e. expoential growth) can change those numbers drastically... so that is why I still track OC UK... we have been as close as a 2004 date so far...

Crunch ON!!!!

Damn! what a drag if we find ET befor we make the top 25! LOL

Morpheus · 08-20-01, 05:07 PM

Let me tell you... If we find ETI, I will be happier than if we captured the no.1 slot from TLC…

Imagine that…

Reading between the lines @ Berkeley, it is apparent that some of the stuff we are currently seeing is part of the gearing up for SETI II… new stats & such—even CGI stuff (that works!!)..

Wonder if stats will “carry over”… I hope not, as we would be in the top 20, maybe even 15 if we had started on a level playing field…

Crunch On!!!

chawken · 08-20-01, 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Morpheus
Let me tell you... If we find ETI, I will be happier than if we captured the no.1 slot from TLC… Imagine that…

Reading between the lines @ Berkeley, it is apparent that some of the stuff we are currently seeing is part of the gearing up for SETI II… new stats & such—even CGI stuff (that works!!)..

Wonder if stats will “carry over”… I hope not, as we would be in the top 20, maybe even 15 if we had started on a level playing field…

Crunch On!!!

I'll second that. Given a level field we would definately be in the top 20. Give us a member base like TLC, or Art Bell etc. and we could give them a real run for the money.

Daniel ~ · 08-20-01, 05:50 PM

Just performing a reality check! LOL

deez · 08-20-01, 10:19 PM

SETI2....anywhere i can find info?

Morpheus · 08-20-01, 11:20 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by deez
SETI2....anywhere i can find info?

Look in the newsletters @ the main SETI sitehere several mention the SETI II project & southern hemisphere searching....

As i said, it is a "read between the lines" but it is there...

Happy Crunching!!!

Morpheus · 08-20-01, 11:23 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Daniel ~
Just performing a reality check! LOL

Understood...

The stats do keep things interesting though as we scour the farthest reaches of our technical abilities...

crunch, crunch

chawken · 08-21-01, 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Morpheus

Look in the newsletters @ the main SETI sitehere several mention the SETI II project & southern hemisphere searching....

As i said, it is a "read between the lines" but it is there...

Happy Crunching!!!

It would be nice if Berkeley put out a newsletter giving us a preview of their future plans with the project. You're right in that you have to read between the lines:
"where it will be examined in further stages of the SETI@home data analysis."

Be nice to read a preview about their "further stages.."

Daniel ~ · 08-21-01, 05:11 PM

Put up a new recruitment poster in GD, Crunch on Dudes and Dudettes

William · 08-21-01, 05:54 PM

Shane! and I have 23 1.2ghz Athlons going Seti's and Folding's Way soon. So look for a nice bump in production. Now the question is which team gets 12 computers and which gets 11? What a wonderful problem!

08-19-01, 12:52 PM	Thread Starter #1
Morpheus Grandfather of Crunchers Senior Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: San Diego, CA	Long Term Predictions!!! Below you can view some of the teams I have been tracking... intercept dates (the date we will "catch" them based on current productivity) are posted in white in a month/year format... Ranks/Teams in the legend are: 67th — Royal Astronomical Society of Canada 56th — Overclockers Network 45th — OcUK - Overclockers UK 44th — Amateur Radio Operators 38th — BP6/VP6 User Group We should be in the TOP 50 around the first of the year!!! CRUNCH ON!!!! __________________ Kris Notice to signature reader: The entire physical universe, including this signature, may one day collapse back into an infinitesimally small space. Should another universe subsequently re-emerge, the absence of this signature in that universe cannot be guaranteed. OverClocking the Search for Extra Terrestrial Intelligence
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 02:11 PM	#2
proze Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: Pretoria, RSA	looking good, morph! i like our curve's gradient plenty!! __________________ Athlon XP1700+ (13311), Gigabyte GA-7VAX, 256MB Samsung PC2700 at 166Mhz, MTS Glaciator, Powercolor Radeon 8500 64MB, SBLive! Value, onboard Realtek 10/100 NIC. Duron 600@1102, Voltage-Modded A7V, 256MB at 142mhz CAS2, MTS Glaciator II, 64MB Gainward GF2 Pro, Maestro II PCI, CNET 10/100 NIC. PLUS* more experience than your grandmother. Bow to me, for I AM ROOT!
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 02:24 PM	#3
Daniel ~ Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: Seattle Wa.	At last! a Graph even I can read! __________________ Daniel~ dan@overclockers.com Where lies the finale harbor, once we unmoor no more? In what rapt either sails the world of which the weariest shall never weary? Our souls are like those orphans whose unwed mothers die in bearing them. The secret of our paternity lies in the grave and it is there we must learn it. (Herman Melville) Avatar By Maestro!
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 02:30 PM	#4
chawken Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Los Angeles County	Looks great Kris. Some good milestones to shoot for. __________________ [size=3.5]S[/size]earch for [size=3.5]E[/size]xtra [size=3.5]T[/size]errestrial [size=3.5]I[/size]ntelligence. Join www.overclockers.com Seti Team Click Here Currently 31st in the World
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 03:08 PM	#5
Basher Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: Mt. Pleasant Pennsylvania	Sweet great job __________________ Crunch on!!!! Morgan Duron 1g @ ? PIII 667 @ 700 Authenic TC XP 1500+ at 1620 The Only Seti Team to Crunch For
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Long Term Predictions!!!

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08-19-01, 04:15 PM	#6
[Oc]acaridans Senior Member Join Date: May 2001	Sweet!! I was just thinking about our long term goals to..Looks good Kris
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 08:24 PM	#7
Thelemac Administratively Deficient Join Date: Mar 2001 Location: Canton, MI	Are you doing straight linear predictions, or are you taking into account the exponential increase that we have? __________________ 42 \| Sig Assassin click
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 09:44 PM	#8
Rottys-R-Us Jester Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: So Cal.USA.	Very good TEAM. If 2mnymds get's a few more sys's it will be next month,HEHE
	QUOTE Thanks

08-19-01, 10:05 PM	#9
[Oc]acaridans Senior Member Join Date: May 2001	Have a question about OC JK is that supost to say 13?? in meaning years??
	QUOTE Thanks

08-20-01, 05:07 PM	Thread Starter #12
Morpheus Grandfather of Crunchers Senior Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: San Diego, CA	Let me tell you... If we find ETI, I will be happier than if we captured the no.1 slot from TLC… Imagine that… Reading between the lines @ Berkeley, it is apparent that some of the stuff we are currently seeing is part of the gearing up for SETI II… new stats & such—even CGI stuff (that works!!).. Wonder if stats will “carry over”… I hope not, as we would be in the top 20, maybe even 15 if we had started on a level playing field… Crunch On!!! __________________ Kris Notice to signature reader: The entire physical universe, including this signature, may one day collapse back into an infinitesimally small space. Should another universe subsequently re-emerge, the absence of this signature in that universe cannot be guaranteed. OverClocking the Search for Extra Terrestrial Intelligence
	QUOTE Thanks

08-20-01, 05:50 PM	#14
Daniel ~ Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: Seattle Wa.	Just performing a reality check! LOL __________________ Daniel~ dan@overclockers.com Where lies the finale harbor, once we unmoor no more? In what rapt either sails the world of which the weariest shall never weary? Our souls are like those orphans whose unwed mothers die in bearing them. The secret of our paternity lies in the grave and it is there we must learn it. (Herman Melville) Avatar By Maestro!
	QUOTE Thanks

08-20-01, 10:19 PM	#15
deez Member Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Austin, TX	SETI2....anywhere i can find info? __________________ heatware: http://heatware.com/eval.php?id=6394
	QUOTE Thanks

08-21-01, 05:11 PM	#19
Daniel ~ Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2000 Location: Seattle Wa.	Put up a new recruitment poster in GD, Crunch on Dudes and Dudettes __________________ Daniel~ dan@overclockers.com Where lies the finale harbor, once we unmoor no more? In what rapt either sails the world of which the weariest shall never weary? Our souls are like those orphans whose unwed mothers die in bearing them. The secret of our paternity lies in the grave and it is there we must learn it. (Herman Melville) Avatar By Maestro!
	QUOTE Thanks

08-21-01, 05:54 PM	#20
William Prodigal Son Moderator Join Date: Mar 2001 Location: Tuscaloosa AL	Shane! and I have 23 1.2ghz Athlons going Seti's and Folding's Way soon. So look for a nice bump in production. Now the question is which team gets 12 computers and which gets 11? What a wonderful problem! __________________ Cameron: Are you crazy, House? You can't divide by zero! The server is almost overloaded as it is, despite us having pumped it full of matrices! Foreman: He was right about that infinite sequence last week... maybe we didn't consider this could be an asymptotic problem. House: This is the only way! Sometimes solutions are NP complete and there's nothing anyone can do about it! Foreman, sneak into the physics department and reroute their servers to ours, we need the extra processors if we don't want this equation to go quadratic on us. Chase, patch the memory leak and install Matlab 9.3. Chase: Shouldn't we be using Mathematica for potentially asymptotic functions? House: When I want your opinion, I'll do an affine transformation to get it. I'm off to see Cuddy. Those parabolic eigenvalues of hers must be good for something.
	QUOTE Thanks

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