Les, I have always loved your graphs, but I always suspected that something else is happening beyond what can be simply predicted.
1) There are multiple regional "zones" going on within each channel. The water moving down the channel walls is typically travelling at 3 to 6 m/s (for 5 to 10lpm flow rates). That in itself must be taken into account.
2) Then the impingement takes place on the base. I suspect that the impingement effect on the walls towards the bottom of the channels is acting at close to direct impingement convectional values due to the pressures and turbulence in this region. The water flow hits the base, and then wants to go in all directions but is constrained by the channel walls. This, I believe, is giving a secondary impingement effect acting on the walls close to the base, perhaps affecting the lower 1.5mm portion of the walls (which is the hottest section of the walls - which is exactly what we want).
3) Then after our "stagnation zone" (if it can ever be called that given what's going on) the block basically acts like a regular channelled block, but I believe that this takes place after about 6mm each size of the centre of the inlet nozzle.
4) The trick here is to try to figure out how all those separate effects are working together, and then work that into a sane model that the calculators you're using can predict something from. I suggest perhaps a limitation of the calculators for predicting something of this nature.